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DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
  • Do Your Own Research 101: Crypto Course
    • The Importance of DYOR
    • How to Navigate DYOR Challenges in Crypto
      • Scams and Fraud
      • Market Volatility
      • Rug Pulls and Exit Scams
      • Regulatory Challenges
    • How to Identify Worthy Crypto Projects
      • Market Trends and Indicators
      • Looking up Projects
      • ♨️How to use the CAPED framework for surface DYOR
    • How to Evaluate Crypto Projects
      • How to Check Product Health - Article 1
      • How to Check Tokenomics Health - Article 2
      • How to Check Token Transactions
      • How to Check Token Supply
      • How to Check Project Security
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  1. Do Your Own Research 101: Crypto Course
  2. How to Identify Worthy Crypto Projects

Market Trends and Indicators

Understanding the pulse of the market is the first step towards identifying promising crypto projects. This involves staying updated with the market trends. One such significant trend to keep an eye on is the overall market sentiment. Positive sentiment is often a sign of a bullish market.

Consider the end of 2017, when the crypto market saw an influx of retail investors. This rush was driven by positive sentiment, pushing the prices of various tokens to new highs.

However, it's crucial to be aware that market sentiment can sometimes be misleading. During the euphoria phase of a market cycle, extreme optimism can lead to inflated asset prices. This was evident during the ICO boom of 2017-2018, where despite the overwhelmingly positive market sentiment, many projects failed to deliver, leading to losses for investors.

The second crucial trend indicator is the Bitcoin dominance index. A high Bitcoin dominance often points to a risk-off environment in the altcoin market. This is because during times of market uncertainty, investors tend to move their funds from altcoins to Bitcoin, leading to an increased Bitcoin dominance.

For instance, during periods of market uncertainty or bearish trends, investors often shift their funds from altcoins to Bitcoin. This shift results in increased Bitcoin dominance.

However, a high Bitcoin dominance doesn't always mean that altcoins are a bad investment. During the "alt season" of early 2021, Bitcoin dominance fell drastically as altcoins soared in value. Investors who solely relied on Bitcoin dominance as an indicator would have missed out on significant returns offered by the altcoin market.

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Last updated 1 year ago